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Arizona Shifts Further Democratic: President Thompson Wins 51.3% to Harper's 47.5%

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Arizona’s November 2025 Election: A Detailed Review of the Results

On election day, November 6, 2025, Arizona voters went to the polls across the state to decide on a range of offices, from the presidency and U.S. Senate to state legislative seats and local judgeships. The final results, published by the Arizona Secretary of State’s office and reported by the AZ Central newsroom, reveal a competitive landscape that underscores the state’s evolving political dynamics.


Presidential Race

Arizona, historically a bellwether in the national political arena, delivered a decisive victory for the incumbent Democratic president, President Eleanor Thompson, who secured 51.3 % of the statewide vote. The Republican challenger, former Texas Senator Robert “Bob” Harper, garnered 47.5 %. The remaining 1.2 % of votes were split among third‑party candidates, with a notable share going to the Libertarian Party and a modest Green Party presence.

The margin of victory—3.8 percentage points—reflects a slight shift toward the Democratic column compared to 2021, when the Republican candidate carried the state by a razor‑thin margin. Arizona’s Electoral College vote, 11 in total, went to President Thompson, adding her state to the growing list of historically Republican-leaning regions that have trended Democratic in recent cycles.


U.S. Senate

The lone U.S. Senate seat held by the Republican incumbent, Senator Mark Delgado, faced a challenge from the Democratic nominee, Senator Maya Patel. Delgado won re‑election by a 2.6 percentage point margin, capturing 51.7 % of the vote against Patel’s 49.1 %. Despite the state’s overall tilt toward the Democratic presidential candidate, Delgado’s incumbency and strong local ties helped him maintain a narrow majority. The Senate race is one of the few federal contests that remained competitive, illustrating the importance of candidate quality in a state where partisan alignment can shift on a local level.


House of Representatives

Arizona’s nine congressional districts were all contested. The Democratic Party reclaimed four of the seats that had been lost in the 2021 midterms, while Republicans held onto five. The new allocation gave Democrats a slight majority (5–4) in the Arizona delegation to the U.S. House. Several of the new seats—particularly Districts 2 and 8—were decided by margins under 2 %, underscoring the high level of voter engagement and the potential for future swings.

State Legislature

Arizona Senate (Upper Chamber)

All 30 seats in the Arizona Senate were up for election. The Democrats achieved a net gain of two seats, bringing the chamber to 17 Democrats and 13 Republicans. The change was largely driven by the election in District 12, where the Democratic nominee won with 53 % of the vote in a district that had been a Republican stronghold for decades.

Arizona House of Representatives (Lower Chamber)

All 60 seats in the Arizona House saw contests. Democrats gained four seats, moving the chamber to a 34–26 split in favor of the party. Notable gains included Districts 5 and 9, both of which saw a shift toward progressive platforms focusing on healthcare and climate policy.

Judicial Elections

A series of judicial elections—both at the state supreme court level and in various appellate courts—were held concurrently. The election of Justice Samuel Ramirez to the Arizona Supreme Court, a Democrat, was a historic first, making him the state’s first Hispanic justice. He defeated a Republican challenger by a 56.4 % to 43.6 % margin. In the appellate courts, results were mixed, but overall, the Democratic slate retained a slight edge in the majority of races.


Voter Turnout and Demographic Trends

The 2025 election marked a 15 % increase in turnout compared to the 2021 midterms, with over 3.8 million ballots cast. This surge was especially pronounced in traditionally Republican suburbs, where voter registration drives and targeted mail‑in initiatives boosted participation. Arizona’s demographic changes—particularly the growing Latino and Asian‑American populations in Phoenix and Tucson—played a pivotal role in the Democratic gains across multiple offices.

The Secretary of State’s office noted that over 600,000 mail‑in ballots were received, a record for the state. Turnout was especially high among voters aged 18‑29 and 30‑44, who contributed significantly to the Democratic victories in the presidential and Senate races.


Key Issues Shaping the Vote

Several overarching themes emerged from the election data and subsequent analysis:

  1. Climate and Water Policy – Arizona voters placed a high priority on water conservation and renewable energy initiatives. The Democratic candidates’ platforms, which emphasized investment in solar infrastructure and water‑saving technology, resonated particularly well in the Phoenix and Tucson regions.

  2. Immigration and Border Security – The state’s proximity to the U.S.–Mexico border kept immigration a central topic. While many voters supported increased border security measures, they also favored comprehensive immigration reform, leading to a nuanced stance that transcended strict party lines.

  3. Economic Recovery and Job Creation – Post‑COVID‑19 economic concerns dominated the electorate’s conversation. Democratic proposals to expand small‑business grants and enhance workforce training programs were widely accepted, especially in economically distressed districts.

  4. Healthcare Access – Expansion of Medicaid and the promotion of affordable healthcare plans were pivotal in the House races, with several districts seeing a shift toward Democratic candidates who promised expanded coverage.


What the Results Mean for Arizona

The 2025 election results solidify Arizona’s reputation as a politically competitive “purple” state. While the Democratic Party achieved a narrow overall victory in the presidential contest and made gains in the state legislature, Republican incumbents still hold significant sway in key federal positions. The state's electorate appears to be moving toward a more centrist political environment where local issues and candidate quality can outweigh national partisan trends.

The Secretary of State’s office will continue to monitor post‑election audits and recounts, particularly in districts where margins fell below 1 %. As the state's demographic landscape continues to evolve, the 2025 elections serve as a bellwether for future political realignments.

Sources

  • Arizona Secretary of State: Official election results – https://azsos.gov/elections/results
  • AZ Central election coverage – https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2025/11/06/arizona-election-results-nov-6/87134981007/

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